What to expect from US Iran relations in near future?

on Thursday, April 25, 2013

We should not be expecting any major changes as far as the relations between Iran and US are concerned. It is expected that Iran will go on with its nuclear program, but anything like a war is far from expectations. US will go on negotiating the matter with Iran to discourage its nuclear program and the deployment of its weapons. No attack from US is expected even if Iran deploys them.

For the past thirty-six years, things are not normal between Iran and the United States and even now, there seems to be no end to this and the latest issue which has triggered the tensions, between these two countries, is the on-going nuclear program of Iran. Although there are disagreements between both the countries, yet both of them do not want to waste their resources in a war on this issue.

The US President said that ” he thinks it is needed to declare the emergency against Iran”, which had been declared previously on 14th of November in 1979. In response to this claim of Barack Obama, Ayatollah Ali Khomeini who is the supreme leader of Iran said that a country like America has no right to become the prosecutor of others. Same goes for England and France.

The policy of the US seems to be clear. Barack Obama won the elections and it was in his manifesto to put an end to all the US wars against countries in West Asia and the Middle East, and he also made a commitment to resolve this issue concerning the nuclear program of Iran without any involvement of the military which means that there will be bans and pressure. Perhaps they will try to affect its economy and isolate the country, and there will be further bans on trade.

The government of Iran does not seem to have any evil motives associated with its nuclear weapons other than its safety and for other peaceful purposes. They are not trying to reach the point where they can immediately assemble their weapons against anyone. Still, it has been working on making its nuclear program a success. They are enriching the nuclear materials. They are doing simulations, and they are even developing some weapons which are not against the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. The Government of Iran has been talking to the US, the EU and the IAEA in this matter.

The Iranian re-actions, which could lead to precipitation of martial confrontation, can be the increase in the rate of enriching uranium or refusal to making any negotiations. Still, what is evident is that Iran is working on assembling the nuclear bomb whether it is for its safety or defense or for threatening Israel. The US can attack the Iranian sites using aircrafts, but that will result in bitter relations and military involvement. What the US Government said was that they will try to resolve the issue with negotiations. It seems that even if they are not willing to accept a new nuclear nation, they will be forced to live with it as any war is beyond comprehension taking into account the impact of events that happened in Iraq and Afghanistan.



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